Reader Mail: More Move On Up

Election-eve feedback from a reader. If I had any doubts that this was the hottest new blog on the scene, they are now gone:

Ever since “Move on UP” was featured on FFO, it has been my canvassing/jogging jam!!!!!!!!!!! This past Sunday, for instance, my roommate and I had to drive out to Starke (20 miles north of Gainesville) to pass out fliers at African-American churches for the last day of early voting in Florida and we listened to that song probably 15 times on the way there to get pumped up since we know we must deliver Florida to Barry in order to ensure the crushing rebuke to the past eight years.


Tomorrow, we’re spending election day knocking on doors of the registered Democrats in our surrounding precincts who haven’t voted yet but first we will jam to “Bring It On Home” and “Move on Up” to get pumped up for the next 13 hours.


So thank you thank you thank you a million times thank you for Friday Face Offs, for crushing all other blogs, for the message from Deepak Chopra (prophetic much?) and also for the entire GYWO collection. We will do this today.

(My emphasis)

This is one race I do feel comfortable calling: MNFTIU WINS IN A LANDSLIDE! HOTTEST NEW BLOG ON THE SCENE, BY A FINAL TALLY OF 10,000 – 0!!!

More Polls: This Time I Used Two Calculators

I think it’s time for Dems to worry.

My latest double-calculator poll calculations show a significant tightening in 4 out of 5 calculator numbers:

1. 5
2. 6
3. 9
4. 2
5. 3

How does Obama pull it off in the face of such numbers?

In the immortal words of Mad Skillz, this race is now “tighter than five virgins in a Volkswagen.”

Reader Mail: Move On Up

More reader feedback. This came in late, late last night:

I’m watching “move on up”!!!!!!


All the white people I talked to tonight were so fucking cynical!!!!


FUCK THAT!!! MOVE ON UP!!!!

For the significance of “Move On Up,” click here.

Quick Update RE: Poll Below

Forgot to include the 9-4 split on the fourth regression model:

9/4 – OHIO
4/1 – FLORIDA district (3.45 / H2)

That changes the weighted average to McCain +3.

Bad news for the Dems.

Reader Mail: Election Morning

From a reader:

Picture the scene. It’s 7:30am. Election day. Dawn’s just broken. It’s cold. I’ve just plugged in my iPod. What song comes up from the shuffle?


Fuckin’ BRING IT ON HOME. I was pumped for the rest of the day. It’s probably a sign that a) Obama’s gonna win and b) that your universe-crushingly huge blog has actually intertwined itself with space time, and is now manifesting itself in awesome, topical songs.

(My emphasis.)

What can I say? This blog will destroy all other blogs and pick all future presidents.

THAT’S HOW IT’S GOING TO BE.

NEW ERA.

MNFTIU.CC, NOW YOU KNOW.

(For those who don’t understand the significance of “Bring It On Home,” start here.)

A Word On My Polls

I’ve noticed a real drop-off in polls this morning. Fivethirtyeight.com seems to be taking a nap. (LOL, make sure you run that nap simulation 10,000 times.)

TPM is in total slack-off mode, as far as I can tell.

I guess DailyKos finally ran out of money, because they don’t seem to be commissioning polls anymore.

I’m going to pick up the slack.

I’M COMMISSIONING FIVE POLLS PER DAY FOR THE NEXT THIRTY DAYS. It’s my duty as the hottest blogger on the scene . . .

Early exits from my first poll (referenced below):

ZYX RESULTS (sample size = n/20)
M: 25
O: 25

This race is tightening. I’ve got 5,000 regression polls cross-tabbed to my P-values, and things look tight. That tightness could spread to the baseline numbers and tighten the gap, in which case it could be an uphill tightening for Obama.

I’ll know more when I get the update fax from my uncle who’s monitoring his CB radio for short-wave tightening.

New Polls: McCain Improving His Gaining And Tightening?

BAD NEWS FOR DEMS: My analysis shows McCain closing the gap in 5,025 of my 20,000 simulations. (I run each election 20,000 times on my calculator.)

He’s running very strong in the following areas:

1. 225001
2. 9696-j (regression mean analysis simulation)
3. 9682111-JY (this is a weighted Kentucky regression; very useful for the first 900 simulations on my calculator)
4. 41999
5. 259903 (this one will be hard for Obama to pull off)
6. AP-2881501
7. 93

I’ll run the numbers one more time before the end of the day. It takes awhile to punch all the data into my calculator, so please be patient!

Music To My Ears

An Obama quote from Newsweek’s big new Obama article:

“I often find myself trapped by the (debate) questions and thinking to myself, ‘You know, this is a stupid question, but let me … answer it.’ Instead of being appropriately [the tape is garbled]. So when Brian Williams is asking me about what’s a personal thing that you’ve done [that’s green], and I say, you know, ‘Well, I planted a bunch of trees.’ And he says, ‘I’m talking about personal.’ What I’m thinking in my head is, ‘Well, the truth is, Brian, we can’t solve global warming because I f–––ing changed light bulbs in my house. It’s because of something collective’.”

(My emphasis)