Friday Face-Offs: “Elections Poll” – 8th Place

Silent but deadly . . .

I used this regression analysis software for my latest poll . . . it gave me a nice sigma-3 curve, which I smoothed out and stuffed in a pie chart . . . the pie chart showed McCain up by 526,012,703 votes . . . they should call it the “Dems Should Worry” software . . .

FRIDAY FACE-OFFS!!!

We’re back and better than ever!

Friday Face-Offs.

Welcome to the 8th INSTALLMENT of an internet legend!!!

As you know, this site has been the leading source of election polls ever since the election ended.

If you doubt me, just take a look at this:

M: 206,460,636,780,093
O: 89,384,190,084

Anyway, in honor of all the polls we’ve commissioned in the last two weeks, and all the data we’ve sifted, this week’s FRIDAY FACE-OFF is “Elections Poll,” by trendingBot.

First contestant is up next! FRIDAY FACE-OFFS!!!

Reader Mail: TPM 6th Golden Age Begins . . . In 2034?

A brilliant number-cruncher (Nate, is that you?) chimes in on the next TPM Golden Age:

I know that consensus is (correctly) forming that your blog was responsible for Obama’s victory on Tuesday. mnftiu.cc is undoubtedly the hottest blog on the streets (streetz?). (You got that right — ed.) However, I don’t want you to get blindsided by the rapidly emerging 6th Golden Age of TPM (aka “We are all TPM, now”).


Check out JMM dropping bombs earlier today:


“(TPM has) gone from a staff of one in early 2005 to a staff of eleven today.”


I did the math. That works out to an annualized growth rate of 122.40% per year. If we carry this trend out, it means that WE WILL ALL BE WORKING FOR JOSH MARSHALL BY THE YEAR 2034! In 2034, TPM will have approximately 11,662,615,466 employees. The population of planet Earth is currently estimated at only 6,602,224,175!!


That means that TPM will single-handedly lift the world economy out of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression . . .

For now, we keep the number of TPM Golden Ages at FIVE. I’m sure that by 2034, TPM will be deep into Golden Age #743,056.

Reader Mail: Poll Data

Somebody out there gets it:

The world is taking note of your voting models!


Looking at your data from 11/6/08, 10:35 AM,


M: 4958274609827
O: 4509845618907
M: 6783649347856
O: 296528e76rw50
M: r978ert70q9869
O: w678529874659
M: 1284576197863
O: 4958762345079
M: 8756196745q65
O: 1231231240468
M: 2084702r73045
O: 7614011789650


you only showed us the first 12 data points here–I think you would have really turned the political world on its head if you continued this trend with an epsilon argument of .82–so I can only extrapolate from there.


Later that day, Obama gave his first post-election press conference. If we look at the first 12 capitalized words in his prepared remarks:


This
The
October
In
Americans
Tens
Their
Now
United
States
January
I


If we take the md5 checksum of each of these words, we get


77631ca4f0e08419b70726a447333ab6
a4704fd35f0308287f2937ba3eccf5fe
eca60ae8611369fe28a02e2ab8c5d12e
efeb369cccbd560588a756610865664c
165813154207e6cacef030430ea09616
3520ceb310cfd1854963293f755fce95
1fb40af155860ea26b4adb2f6049349d
1e1cc9bdeb2f29f5480106aec7e9bc48
a6590794f2fd66738d3a0f28a4857762
b8464cdd84b5f068ad72bf5c4f32163d
86f5978d9b80124f509bdb71786e929e
dd7536794b63bf90eccfd37f9b147d7f


Now to compare this with your data, we can use the fact that the dual space of a normed space is ALWAYS a Banach space to arrive at the following map from R12 to R12


\hat f(x) = \sum_{j=1}^{12} \tau_{j_0} \alpha_2^\prime
(see attachment)


this provides an isometry which EXACTLY MAPS YOUR DATA TO OBAMA’S WORDS. It is as if your wrote the speech for him! What is remarkable is that it is so simple, it is a theoretical impossibility that this is merely a coincidence.


10:35 AM… mnftiu releases numbers… 2:53 PM… Obama codes these numbers into speech…


Is this a new golden age of mnftiu.cc… the dominant blog of the 19th-22nd century?? You are putting MATHEMATICAL COMMUNITY AT LARGE ON NOTICE!

This is why I blog — for the community. For the user-generated research that will define the new century as “Party-Time Century, USA.”

Nate Silver, your days are numbered! (LOL, “numbered.”)

A Word About The Polls

Well, it seems some people are tiring of my non-stop amazing polls which I keep releasing to so much fanfare.

Don’t worry, anti-poll people . . . as of next week, I plan to cut back on my polls.

BUT REAL QUICK, CHECK OUT THIS POLL:

O: 1,452,894
M: 23,098,630,985
SUBSET: 7,205,587,693 (n = 2,398,709,873,209)
p-value = 000.4000.22 (one of the lowest ever recorded!)

DEMS SHOULD HURRY . . . LOL, WHAT RHYMES WITH HURRY? BECAUSE THAT’S WHAT DEMS SHOULD REALLY DO.

Thank You Northampton!

Thanks to everyone who represented in Northampton last night. Thanks to Bill Scher of Northampton Drinking Liberally for hooking up the event. Sorry it was a bit crowded in that little basement room.

But wasn’t it worth it to see me ROCKING MY NATIONAL REVIEW T-SHIRT??? Greatest shirt ever, which I wear with such pride!!!

If anyone has a picture of me in my National Review shirt, please forward so I can post on my blog!

(Interesting fact I just learned about my National Review shirt . . . my wife won’t let me kiss her while wearing it. “You have to take that shirt off if you’re gonna kiss me . . .” And no, she’s not talking about how much she wants to see my rock-hard abs, LOL!!! More like, “Nacho-hard abs,” seeing as how I killed those nachos last night in Northampton, and then had nacho-style-breakfast this morning, LOL, nachos I love you!!!)

Am I The Next Nate Silver?

Everyone’s talking about my polls — are they better than fivethirtyeight.com? Is my data more incredible? Are my spreadsheets bigger, with better fonts? Are my number bigger, with so many digits you can’t believe your eyes?

Yes, yes, yes, yes, and yes. And yes and yes!

Am I the next Nate Silver?

YES.

Check out this NYTimes article about Silver. His dad recalls an incident from childhood:

“When we took him to preschool one time, we dropped him off, and he announced, ‘Today, I’m a numbers machine,’ and started counting,” Brian Silver said. “When we picked him up two and a half hours later, he was ‘Two thousand one hundred and twenty-two, two thousand one hundred and twenty-three…’ ”

Are you kidding me? Homeboy spent all day counting, and only made it into the 2,000s? You leave me alone all day, I’ll count right through the 2,000s and into the 4,000s! Nate Silver thinks he’s a counting machine? I’M A COUNTING MACHINE. I’ll count circles around Nate Silver!

Anytime, anyplace, Nate Silver. You and me. Two-man count-off. On your mark, get set, COUNT. (And good thing your name is silver, because that’s the color of the medal you’ll receive — SILVER. Because the GOLD medal is going to ME.)

I’m so disgusted with the liberal media right now, I can’t count straight.